Boise State vs Hawaii 11/10/2012

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 97% of simulations over Hawaii. Joe Southwick is averaging 254 passing yards and 2.42 TDs per simulation and D.J. Harper is projected for 95 rushing yards and a 85% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 3% of simulations where Hawaii wins, Sean Schroeder averages 0.86 TD passes vs 1.35 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.37 TDs to 1.93 interceptions. Will Gregory averages 47 rushing yards and 0.47 rushing TDs when Hawaii wins and 36 yards and 0.14 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 65% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HAW +29
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